Polar bear

Our scenario planning process (QUEST™) involves several logical and methodical steps, which are outlined in our book, Futurevision. Briefly they are as follows:

Questions

Development of the framing question.

Identify a framing purpose for the project. What is it that we want to know?

Environments

Identification of major trends and influencers of change. How do they impact on us? What can we learn about the future?

Identify drivers of change that require more analysis and understanding. Use key drivers to create a set of scenarios.

Strategy

This is what might happen. How will we respond? Early warning indicators.

Identify matters that require attention right now.

Transformation

Consideration of strategic options. Responses and interventions to seize new opportunities and mitigate against emerging risks.